Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.0% vs 56.2%). Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Hintz 55.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 70.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 61.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Hayes
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hayes
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
56.3% (512)
+0.3%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
63.3% (30)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
45.8% (24)
+19.9%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. Hintz is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Hayes
Hintz
Home
58.0% (405)
57.3% (262)
Away
56.1% (433)
55.3% (304)
By Period
Hayes
Hintz
P1
54.7%
54.8%
P2
55.7%
56.0%
P3
60.2%
57.5%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |