Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Carpenter 52.2% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 53.2%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 73.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.0%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Hayes
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayes
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
53.1% (113)
-4.6%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
100.0% (1)
-46.7%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
60.0% (10)
-1.7%
On power play, Carpenter has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Hayes shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Hayes
Carpenter
Home
50.8% (313)
58.5% (65)
Away
48.2% (363)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Hayes
Carpenter
P1
52.3%
65.8%
P2
47.7%
50.0%
P3
48.4%
47.9%
Final 5 min
50.9%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |