Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs McLeod 47.7% (-4.4%)
Offensive zone
McLeod 57.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 50.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 59.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Hayes
McLeod
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
47.8% (448)
-5.1%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
48.1% (52)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
36.0% (25)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. McLeod is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Hayes
McLeod
Home
43.5% (232)
46.6% (253)
Away
42.4% (375)
47.8% (272)
By Period
Hayes
McLeod
P1
40.1%
43.9%
P2
44.8%
45.9%
P3
42.4%
52.1%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%