Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 52.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs McLeod 52.1% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 64.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 69.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 51.2%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Hayes
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hayes
McLeod
Last 6: Hayes 3-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Hayes
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
52.9% (904)
-1.3%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
57.6% (59)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
49.0% (241)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Hayes
McLeod
Home
50.5% (200)
51.8% (612)
Away
53.4% (253)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Hayes
McLeod
P1
58.8%
55.4%
P2
49.3%
50.8%
P3
48.0%
51.6%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:36 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |