Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs McLeod 48.4% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 63.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 67.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Hayes
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Hayes
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Hayes
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
49.0% (500)
-0.5%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
43.8% (48)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
44.0% (50)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Hayes shoots left. McLeod is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Hayes
McLeod
Home
50.8% (313)
50.9% (291)
Away
48.2% (363)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Hayes
McLeod
P1
52.3%
44.3%
P2
47.7%
52.4%
P3
48.4%
47.8%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |