Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs McLeod 49.6% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 63.0%
Defensive zone
McLeod 77.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 68.5%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Hayes
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
Hayes
McLeod
Last 10: Hayes 7-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
1
Hayes
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
3
Hayes
McLeod
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
7
0
Hayes
McLeod
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
50.4% (3,345)
-2.9%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
51.0% (292)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
44.3% (635)
+1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Hayes
McLeod
Home
48.1% (3,982)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Hayes
McLeod
P1
47.5%
50.8%
P2
47.6%
48.4%
P3
47.9%
50.0%
OT
54.1%
37.1%
Final 5 min
49.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:36 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 05:37 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 02:19 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:43 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:37 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 13:51 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |