Kevin Hayes vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 50.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.9% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 73.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 7: Hayes 5-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (850)
48.3% (633)
+2.1%
Power Play
56.4% (39)
64.6% (48)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (223)
43.0% (86)
+7.2%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hayes is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Hayes shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.0% (586)
52.0% (419)
Away
51.1% (526)
44.8% (348)
By Period
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.3%
51.5%
P2
52.3%
45.9%
P3
47.3%
48.1%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
50.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 05:43 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 07:10 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 03:51 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |