Kevin Hayes vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (-12.3%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 61.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.1%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
47.6% (231)
-15.7%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
83.3% (12)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
33.3% (21)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
30.6% (49)
51.2% (164)
Away
40.4% (57)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
22.9%
50.0%
P2
40.0%
46.2%
P3
44.4%
49.5%
Final 5 min
30.4%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%