Kevin Hayes vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 44.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% (-8.7%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.6%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.7%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (81)
47.6% (189)
-14.3%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
100.0% (2)
-35.7%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hayes is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Hayes shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
30.6% (49)
48.5% (132)
Away
45.7% (46)
43.4% (76)
By Period
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
24.2%
51.4%
P2
43.8%
41.3%
P3
46.7%
48.5%
Final 5 min
31.8%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
37.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%