Kevin Hayes vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.4%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
51.0% (408)
+5.6%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
0.0% (6)
+57.0%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
35.9% (78)
+29.8%
On power play, Hayes has a +57.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
58.0% (405)
50.8% (258)
Away
56.1% (433)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.7%
51.6%
P2
55.7%
45.2%
P3
60.2%
47.6%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |