Kevin Hayes vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.8%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.0%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
50.3% (479)
+1.3%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
50.0% (28)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
30.0% (50)
+30.0%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.5% (200)
48.9% (270)
Away
53.4% (253)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
58.8%
48.7%
P2
49.3%
50.0%
P3
48.0%
47.3%
OT
66.7%
36.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |