Kevin Hayes vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 52.1%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
16
(31 meetings)
15
16
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Hayes 4-6 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
4
6
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
7
4
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
4
6
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
44.9% (8,756)
+2.6%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
50.7% (839)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
37.9% (879)
+7.4%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.1% (3,982)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.5%
45.1%
P2
47.6%
43.9%
P3
47.9%
45.3%
OT
54.1%
43.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:37 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 09:40 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 05:43 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 07:10 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 03:51 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 2 | 16:35 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |