Kevin Hayes vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 50.7%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 50.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 50.6% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 54.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 54.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Hayes 2-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (672)
52.1% (351)
-0.8%
Power Play
50.0% (78)
57.1% (14)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (76)
35.9% (39)
+4.9%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hayes is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Hayes shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.0% (404)
50.0% (198)
Away
48.6% (422)
51.5% (206)
By Period
Hayes
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.7%
52.1%
P2
50.2%
48.8%
P3
49.8%
50.4%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 09:40 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |