Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 50.5% vs Gagner 48.1% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 79.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 74.3%
Neutral zone
Gagner 58.0%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Hayes
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hayes
Gagner
Last 5: Hayes 1-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
3
Hayes
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Hayes
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (850)
47.3% (395)
+3.1%
Power Play
56.4% (39)
50.0% (62)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (223)
50.0% (4)
+0.2%
On power play, Hayes has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Hayes is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Hayes shoots left. Gagner is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Hayes
Gagner
Home
50.0% (586)
49.4% (267)
Away
51.1% (526)
45.4% (194)
By Period
Hayes
Gagner
P1
52.3%
47.5%
P2
52.3%
48.5%
P3
47.3%
48.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.5%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2018 | 3 | 10:13 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 2 | 14:58 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |