Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Gagner 52.4% (-5.5%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 61.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 65.6%
Neutral zone
Gagner 50.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Hayes
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
76.5% (17)
-19.9%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
28.6% (7)
+28.4%
On power play, Hayes has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Hayes shoots left. Gagner is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (18).
Home / Away
Hayes
Gagner
Home
58.0% (405)
75.0% (16)
Away
56.1% (433)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Hayes
Gagner
P1
54.7%
25.0%
P2
55.7%
64.3%
P3
60.2%
83.3%
Final 5 min
58.9%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
57.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%