Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +19.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Gagner 43.8% (+19.0%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 54.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 53.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Hayes
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
31.0% (29)
+17.5%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
29.4% (17)
+23.9%
On power play, Hayes has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Hayes shoots left. Gagner is 27.8% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Hayes
Gagner
Home
50.8% (313)
36.8% (19)
Away
48.2% (363)
25.9% (27)
By Period
Hayes
Gagner
P1
52.3%
27.8%
P2
47.7%
15.4%
P3
48.4%
46.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.4%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
30.4%