Scouting Report
Tim Stützle holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Stützle 52.9% (-17.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 85.0%
Defensive zone
Stützle 72.6%
Neutral zone
Stützle 72.2%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 85.0%
15.0%
85.0%
Hayes
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayes
Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Stützle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
53.0% (485)
-21.1%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
55.2% (58)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
56.7% (30)
-56.7%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +56.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Stützle is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Hayes
Stützle
Home
30.6% (49)
52.5% (282)
Away
40.4% (57)
54.3% (291)
By Period
Hayes
Stützle
P1
22.9%
52.1%
P2
40.0%
56.2%
P3
44.4%
52.0%
Final 5 min
30.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 09:50 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |