Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stützle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Stützle 43.0% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 57.4%
Defensive zone
Stützle 81.2%
Neutral zone
Stützle 61.7%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Hayes
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Hayes
Stützle
Last 6: Hayes 2-4 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Stützle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
Hayes
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
1
3
Hayes
Stützle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
42.7% (457)
+5.8%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
20.0% (5)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
25.0% (24)
+33.3%
On power play, Hayes has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Hayes shoots left. Stützle is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Hayes
Stützle
Home
50.8% (313)
43.1% (253)
Away
48.2% (363)
39.9% (233)
By Period
Hayes
Stützle
P1
52.3%
44.9%
P2
47.7%
43.9%
P3
48.4%
35.8%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:22 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 13:52 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 19:11 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |