Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Stützle 40.1% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 53.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 52.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 57.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Hayes
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hayes
Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Stützle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
Hayes
Stützle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
37.3% (458)
+5.4%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
100.0% (3)
-57.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
50.0% (12)
-4.8%
On power play, Stützle has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Stützle is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Hayes
Stützle
Home
43.5% (232)
42.8% (229)
Away
42.4% (375)
33.6% (244)
By Period
Hayes
Stützle
P1
40.1%
41.8%
P2
44.8%
39.0%
P3
42.4%
33.1%
Final 5 min
44.3%
34.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
38.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 07:03 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |