Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Stützle 47.2% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 53.7%
Defensive zone
Stützle 54.8%
Neutral zone
Stützle 53.1%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Hayes
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Hayes
Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Stützle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
Hayes
Stützle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
45.3% (468)
+11.3%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
62.5% (24)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
60.0% (20)
+5.7%
On even strength, Hayes has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. Stützle is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Hayes
Stützle
Home
58.0% (405)
46.3% (270)
Away
56.1% (433)
47.1% (242)
By Period
Hayes
Stützle
P1
54.7%
46.1%
P2
55.7%
45.8%
P3
60.2%
48.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |