Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stützle on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Stützle 45.8% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Stützle leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stützle 54.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 56.4%
Neutral zone
Stützle 52.4%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Hayes
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Hayes
Stützle
Last 10: Hayes 4-6 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
1
Hayes
Stützle
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Stützle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
1
5
Hayes
Stützle
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
45.1% (2,292)
+2.4%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
55.4% (101)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
47.7% (86)
-2.4%
On power play, Stützle has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Stützle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,489).
Home / Away
Hayes
Stützle
Home
48.1% (3,982)
47.7% (1,282)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
43.4% (1,197)
By Period
Hayes
Stützle
P1
47.5%
47.1%
P2
47.6%
45.4%
P3
47.9%
44.1%
OT
54.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 09:50 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:22 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 13:52 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 19:11 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 07:03 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |