Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rooney wins 35.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 45.9% vs Dowd 50.7% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rooney 90.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 75.4%
Neutral zone
Rooney 56.5%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Rooney
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Rooney
Dowd
Last 6: Rooney 2-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
2
0
Rooney
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Rooney
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Rooney
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
42.2% (102)
55.2% (625)
-13.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
57.1% (7)
-57.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
38.2% (220)
+61.8%
On penalty kill, Rooney has a +61.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Rooney is 35.1% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Rooney shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Rooney
Dowd
Home
42.0% (69)
53.7% (445)
Away
41.7% (36)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Rooney
Dowd
P1
35.7%
48.8%
P2
48.4%
49.3%
P3
43.8%
54.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
41.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 09:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |