Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Rooney wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 47.7% vs Dowd 48.3% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rooney 67.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 89.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 60.8%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Rooney
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rooney
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
1
0
Rooney
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (181)
49.2% (778)
-1.1%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
58.3% (12)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (21)
44.0% (234)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Rooney is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Rooney shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Rooney
Dowd
Home
49.1% (112)
46.3% (492)
Away
43.8% (96)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Rooney
Dowd
P1
40.0%
49.1%
P2
53.4%
48.2%
P3
46.7%
46.9%
Final 5 min
41.4%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2024 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |