Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Rooney wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 47.8% vs Dowd 49.9% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rooney 72.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 70.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Rooney
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rooney
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Rooney
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (319)
52.2% (835)
-5.2%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
60.0% (10)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (87)
44.0% (350)
+3.1%
On even strength, Dowd has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Rooney is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Rooney shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Rooney
Dowd
Home
45.8% (203)
51.5% (619)
Away
48.6% (210)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Rooney
Dowd
P1
47.2%
51.7%
P2
55.0%
51.6%
P3
37.3%
47.0%
OT
50.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
51.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |