Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 46.4% vs Dowd 50.7% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 20-12 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Rooney 77.8%
Defensive zone
Rooney 90.4%
Neutral zone
Rooney 74.9%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Rooney
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
20
(32 meetings)
12
20
Rooney
Dowd
Last 10: Rooney 4-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
5
3
Rooney
Dowd
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
8
Rooney
Dowd
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
6
9
Rooney
Dowd
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (2,042)
52.4% (6,009)
-5.7%
Power Play
41.7% (48)
56.1% (164)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (267)
44.1% (1,635)
-0.7%
On power play, Dowd has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Rooney is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (787).
Rooney shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Rooney
Dowd
Home
47.4% (1,227)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
44.9% (1,130)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Rooney
Dowd
P1
48.1%
51.7%
P2
47.1%
50.4%
P3
43.6%
50.3%
OT
12.5%
45.9%
Final 5 min
47.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 09:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:01 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 09:31 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 18:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |