Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Stenlund wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 52.7% vs Draisaitl 54.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 92.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 72.7%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 72.1%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Stenlund
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Stenlund
Draisaitl
Last 10: Stenlund 7-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Stenlund
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
7
0
Stenlund
Draisaitl
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (359)
52.4% (974)
+5.8%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
59.5% (373)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (150)
61.0% (123)
-19.0%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Stenlund shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Draisaitl
Home
53.6% (261)
54.5% (778)
Away
52.8% (265)
55.3% (692)
By Period
Stenlund
Draisaitl
P1
55.4%
54.6%
P2
51.5%
56.1%
P3
52.9%
53.3%
Final 5 min
52.0%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 06:00 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 10:57 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 01:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |