Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stenlund wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Draisaitl 54.0% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 82.3%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 78.7%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 53.1%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Stenlund
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Stenlund
Draisaitl
Last 10: Stenlund 4-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
4
Stenlund
Draisaitl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
5
2
Stenlund
Draisaitl
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
3
Stenlund
Draisaitl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
53.7% (923)
+4.9%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
56.1% (244)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
58.6% (29)
+1.9%
On power play, Stenlund has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Stenlund shoots right. Draisaitl is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Draisaitl
Home
58.6% (548)
55.2% (636)
Away
59.7% (506)
53.4% (560)
By Period
Stenlund
Draisaitl
P1
60.2%
50.8%
P2
59.1%
56.6%
P3
58.3%
54.0%
OT
58.6%
67.9%
Final 5 min
58.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 29, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 07:34 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 14:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 05:16 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |