Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stenlund wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Draisaitl 56.5% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 94.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 59.6%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 72.9%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Stenlund
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Stenlund
Draisaitl
Last 10: Stenlund 6-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stenlund
Draisaitl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
1
Stenlund
Draisaitl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Stenlund
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
57.4% (1,010)
-3.0%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
56.2% (331)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
54.5% (110)
-10.4%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Stenlund shoots right. Draisaitl is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Draisaitl
Home
50.7% (402)
56.4% (734)
Away
52.0% (433)
57.5% (717)
By Period
Stenlund
Draisaitl
P1
56.5%
55.6%
P2
52.4%
62.1%
P3
45.2%
52.4%
OT
100.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 15:53 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 01:58 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |