Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 94.3%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 75.6%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 80.4%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Stenlund
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Stenlund
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Draisaitl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
Draisaitl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
55.9% (835)
+0.2%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
61.8% (228)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
50.0% (40)
+2.1%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Stenlund shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Draisaitl
Home
57.0% (458)
55.1% (508)
Away
52.6% (511)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Stenlund
Draisaitl
P1
55.1%
55.8%
P2
53.3%
55.7%
P3
56.4%
59.0%
OT
42.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:45 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |