Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Rossi 45.3% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 85.6%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 52.1%
Neutral zone
Rossi 65.0%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Stenlund
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Stenlund
Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Stenlund
Rossi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Stenlund
Rossi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Stenlund
Rossi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
44.5% (701)
+9.9%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
56.1% (41)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
0.0% (7)
+44.1%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +44.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Stenlund shoots right. Rossi is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Rossi
Home
50.7% (402)
46.8% (385)
Away
52.0% (433)
42.6% (364)
By Period
Stenlund
Rossi
P1
56.5%
42.8%
P2
52.4%
43.9%
P3
45.2%
47.4%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
37.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 2 | 13:08 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |