Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 17 meetings). Stenlund wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.0% vs Rossi 46.9% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 21-10 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Stenlund 66.0%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 97.9%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 85.2%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 87.8%
87.8%
12.2%
Stenlund
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
10
(31 meetings)
21
10
Stenlund
Rossi
Last 10: Stenlund 7-3 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
5
Stenlund
Rossi
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
14
3
Stenlund
Rossi
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
5
2
Stenlund
Rossi
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,703)
47.0% (2,140)
+8.3%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
47.3% (188)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (919)
34.1% (44)
+16.5%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,807).
Stenlund shoots right. Rossi is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Rossi
Home
54.3% (1,848)
47.8% (1,207)
Away
53.9% (1,890)
45.7% (1,165)
By Period
Stenlund
Rossi
P1
56.4%
47.3%
P2
53.3%
44.8%
P3
52.8%
48.3%
OT
52.9%
45.8%
Final 5 min
53.4%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 02:42 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:29 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:14 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 09:58 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:59 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:14 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 17:29 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 09:51 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |