Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Rossi 50.4% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 56.0%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 89.2%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 59.8%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Stenlund
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stenlund
Rossi
Last 6: Stenlund 4-2 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Stenlund
Rossi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
0
Stenlund
Rossi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
52.8% (400)
+3.3%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
36.1% (36)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
37.0% (27)
+15.1%
On power play, Stenlund has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Stenlund shoots right. Rossi is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Rossi
Home
57.0% (458)
50.0% (242)
Away
52.6% (511)
51.1% (221)
By Period
Stenlund
Rossi
P1
55.1%
54.9%
P2
53.3%
48.7%
P3
56.4%
47.9%
OT
42.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 02:42 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:29 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |