Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Stenlund wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Rossi 47.1% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 17-5 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Stenlund 63.6%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 97.1%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 92.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 88.7%
88.7%
11.3%
Stenlund
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
5
(22 meetings)
17
5
Stenlund
Rossi
Last 10: Stenlund 9-1 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
3
Stenlund
Rossi
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
11
2
Stenlund
Rossi
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
0
Stenlund
Rossi
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
46.5% (879)
+12.1%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
48.6% (105)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
50.0% (8)
+10.5%
On power play, Stenlund has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Stenlund shoots right. Rossi is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Rossi
Home
58.6% (548)
47.5% (520)
Away
59.7% (506)
46.0% (472)
By Period
Stenlund
Rossi
P1
60.2%
47.8%
P2
59.1%
44.2%
P3
58.3%
48.7%
OT
58.6%
45.5%
Final 5 min
58.8%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:14 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 09:58 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:59 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:14 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 17:29 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 09:51 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 11:08 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 05:53 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 18:52 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |