Kevin Stenlund vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Backlund 49.7% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 64.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 65.5%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 60.5%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Stenlund
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Stenlund
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
50.1% (891)
+6.0%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
53.1% (64)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
47.8% (278)
+4.3%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Stenlund shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Backlund
Home
57.0% (458)
48.1% (580)
Away
52.6% (511)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Stenlund
Backlund
P1
55.1%
45.1%
P2
53.3%
54.7%
P3
56.4%
49.0%
OT
42.1%
46.2%
Final 5 min
57.6%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 05:58 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 01:16 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |