Kevin Stenlund vs Mikael Backlund
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Backlund 50.3% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 55.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 50.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Stenlund
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stenlund
Backlund
Last 5: Stenlund 2-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Stenlund
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Stenlund
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
51.0% (1,205)
+3.4%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
59.3% (108)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
42.3% (234)
+1.8%
On power play, Backlund has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Stenlund shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Backlund
Home
50.7% (402)
51.2% (782)
Away
52.0% (433)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Stenlund
Backlund
P1
56.5%
51.5%
P2
52.4%
49.8%
P3
45.2%
49.9%
OT
100.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:03 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 05:24 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |