Kevin Stenlund vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Stenlund wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.0% vs Backlund 49.0% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 18-11 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Stenlund 51.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 82.6%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 69.7%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Stenlund
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
11
(29 meetings)
18
11
Stenlund
Backlund
Last 10: Stenlund 8-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
7
Stenlund
Backlund
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
10
2
Stenlund
Backlund
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
5
2
Stenlund
Backlund
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,703)
49.7% (13,410)
+5.6%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
51.6% (1,336)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (919)
44.0% (2,446)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,807).
Stenlund shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Backlund
Home
54.3% (1,848)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
53.9% (1,890)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Stenlund
Backlund
P1
56.4%
48.5%
P2
53.3%
50.3%
P3
52.8%
48.4%
OT
52.9%
44.1%
Final 5 min
53.4%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 05:58 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 01:16 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 16:17 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 11:44 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:03 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 05:24 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |