Kevin Stenlund vs Mikael Backlund
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Stenlund wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Backlund 48.5% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stenlund 82.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 83.4%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 89.3%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 83.9%
83.9%
16.1%
Stenlund
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Stenlund
Backlund
Last 10: Stenlund 8-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
3
Stenlund
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
5
0
Stenlund
Backlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
50.4% (1,032)
+8.2%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
52.3% (107)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
40.6% (313)
+19.9%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Stenlund shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Backlund
Home
58.6% (548)
48.7% (749)
Away
59.7% (506)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Stenlund
Backlund
P1
60.2%
50.4%
P2
59.1%
50.1%
P3
58.3%
45.8%
OT
58.6%
30.8%
Final 5 min
58.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 16:17 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 11:44 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |