Kevin Stenlund vs Mikael Backlund

2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Kevin Stenlund holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stenlund wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stenlund 52.7% vs Backlund 50.8% (+2.3%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Backlund 68.9%
Defensive zone Stenlund 79.7%
Neutral zone Stenlund 53.5%
Result Kevin Stenlund favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Stenlund Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 4 (9 meetings)
5
4
Stenlund Backlund
Last 9: Stenlund 5-4 Backlund

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Stenlund Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
1
Stenlund Backlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund Backlund
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stenlund
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (359)
51.9% (1,083)
+6.3%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
51.7% (120)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (150)
44.3% (183)
-2.3%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +6.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Stenlund shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Backlund
Home
53.6% (261)
51.9% (673)
Away
52.8% (265)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Stenlund
Backlund
P1
55.4%
51.4%
P2
51.5%
50.5%
P3
52.9%
51.4%
Final 5 min
52.0%
50.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%
59.0%
53.2%
Backlund
52.0%
48.0%
50.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 5, 2023 3 10:40 Neutral Kevin Stenlund
Apr 5, 2023 2 09:10 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Apr 5, 2023 1 03:57 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Apr 5, 2023 1 01:44 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Jan 3, 2023 3 14:20 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Jan 3, 2023 3 08:26 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Jan 3, 2023 3 08:23 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Jan 3, 2023 2 06:38 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Jan 3, 2023 1 15:39 Defensive Kevin Stenlund