Kevin Stenlund vs Mikael Backlund
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stenlund wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 52.7% vs Backlund 50.8% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 68.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 79.7%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 53.5%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Stenlund
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Stenlund
Backlund
Last 9: Stenlund 5-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Stenlund
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
1
Stenlund
Backlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (359)
51.9% (1,083)
+6.3%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
51.7% (120)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (150)
44.3% (183)
-2.3%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Stenlund shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Backlund
Home
53.6% (261)
51.9% (673)
Away
52.8% (265)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Stenlund
Backlund
P1
55.4%
51.4%
P2
51.5%
50.5%
P3
52.9%
51.4%
Final 5 min
52.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 10:40 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 14:20 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 06:38 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 15:39 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |