Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 52.7% vs Frost 46.2% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 82.1%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 84.0%
Neutral zone
Frost 54.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Stenlund
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Stenlund
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Stenlund
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (359)
45.6% (833)
+12.6%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
46.0% (100)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (150)
55.6% (18)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Stenlund shoots right. Frost is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Frost
Home
53.6% (261)
47.0% (440)
Away
52.8% (265)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Stenlund
Frost
P1
55.4%
42.5%
P2
51.5%
47.9%
P3
52.9%
46.6%
Final 5 min
52.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 09:04 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |