Kevin Stenlund vs Morgan Frost

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Kevin Stenlund holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stenlund 58.3% vs Frost 51.1% (+7.9%)
H2H factor Stenlund leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone Frost 77.5%
Defensive zone Stenlund 88.2%
Neutral zone Stenlund 73.7%
Result Kevin Stenlund favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Stenlund Frost
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 5 (11 meetings)
6
5
Stenlund Frost
Last 10: Stenlund 5-5 Frost

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Stenlund Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
0
Stenlund Frost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Stenlund Frost
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stenlund
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
50.3% (825)
+8.3%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
54.9% (204)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
50.0% (4)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +10.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Frost shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Stenlund shoots right. Frost is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Frost
Home
58.6% (548)
50.7% (489)
Away
59.7% (506)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Stenlund
Frost
P1
60.2%
53.6%
P2
59.1%
47.8%
P3
58.3%
52.0%
OT
58.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
58.8%
48.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%
59.0%
59.1%
Frost
62.0%
59.0%
51.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 1, 2025 3 11:29 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Apr 1, 2025 2 18:07 Offensive Morgan Frost
Apr 1, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Kevin Stenlund
Apr 1, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Kevin Stenlund
Dec 8, 2024 3 17:44 Neutral Morgan Frost
Dec 8, 2024 3 08:45 Offensive Morgan Frost
Dec 8, 2024 3 08:39 Neutral Kevin Stenlund
Dec 8, 2024 2 15:30 Neutral Morgan Frost
Dec 8, 2024 2 07:20 Neutral Morgan Frost
Dec 8, 2024 1 14:16 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Dec 8, 2024 1 05:54 Defensive Kevin Stenlund