Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Frost 51.1% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 77.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 88.2%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 73.7%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Stenlund
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Stenlund
Frost
Last 10: Stenlund 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Stenlund
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
0
Stenlund
Frost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Stenlund
Frost
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
50.3% (825)
+8.3%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
54.9% (204)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
50.0% (4)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Stenlund shoots right. Frost is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Frost
Home
58.6% (548)
50.7% (489)
Away
59.7% (506)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Stenlund
Frost
P1
60.2%
53.6%
P2
59.1%
47.8%
P3
58.3%
52.0%
OT
58.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
58.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 08:39 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |