Kevin Stenlund vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 52.7% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 90.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 65.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 81.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 79.7%
20.3%
79.7%
Stenlund
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Stenlund
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Stenlund
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Stenlund
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Stenlund
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (359)
44.7% (1,053)
+13.5%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
36.8% (95)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (150)
65.0% (20)
-23.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Stenlund is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Stenlund shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Stenlund
MacKinnon
Home
53.6% (261)
49.4% (553)
Away
52.8% (265)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Stenlund
MacKinnon
P1
55.4%
45.3%
P2
51.5%
42.7%
P3
52.9%
45.1%
Final 5 min
52.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:32 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 18:13 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 03:16 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 03:12 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |