Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 52.7% vs Dowd 50.7% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 67.7%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 53.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 56.7%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Stenlund
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Stenlund
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (359)
55.2% (625)
+3.0%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
57.1% (7)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (150)
38.2% (220)
+3.8%
On power play, Dowd has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Stenlund is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Stenlund shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Dowd
Home
53.6% (261)
53.7% (445)
Away
52.8% (265)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Stenlund
Dowd
P1
55.4%
48.8%
P2
51.5%
49.3%
P3
52.9%
54.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |