Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Dowd 49.1% (+5.7%)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 61.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 53.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.9%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Stenlund
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
51.7% (644)
+4.4%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
0.0% (2)
+53.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
41.6% (221)
+10.5%
On power play, Stenlund has a +53.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Stenlund shoots right. Dowd is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Dowd
Home
57.0% (458)
48.6% (451)
Away
52.6% (511)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Stenlund
Dowd
P1
55.1%
49.1%
P2
53.3%
47.3%
P3
56.4%
51.4%
OT
42.1%
30.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%