Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Roy 47.9% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 67.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 59.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 66.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Stenlund
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Stenlund
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Stenlund
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Stenlund
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
48.6% (679)
+10.0%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
48.0% (50)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
34.7% (49)
+25.8%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Stenlund is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Stenlund shoots right. Roy is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Roy
Home
58.6% (548)
49.3% (345)
Away
59.7% (506)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Stenlund
Roy
P1
60.2%
47.6%
P2
59.1%
47.1%
P3
58.3%
47.9%
OT
58.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |