Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.0% vs Roy 48.4% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Stenlund 58.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 83.4%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 71.9%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Stenlund
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Stenlund
Roy
Last 10: Stenlund 7-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
1
Stenlund
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
3
Stenlund
Roy
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
6
3
Stenlund
Roy
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,703)
48.7% (3,719)
+6.6%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
49.5% (283)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (919)
45.5% (477)
+5.1%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (931).
Stenlund shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,191).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Roy
Home
54.3% (1,848)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
53.9% (1,890)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Stenlund
Roy
P1
56.4%
50.8%
P2
53.3%
46.3%
P3
52.8%
48.1%
OT
52.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 08:14 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 02:58 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 05:25 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 18:38 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 19:59 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |