Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 52.7% vs Zacha 46.5% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 86.3%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 82.3%
Neutral zone
Zacha 56.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 86.3%
13.7%
86.3%
Stenlund
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stenlund
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Stenlund
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (359)
45.3% (247)
+12.9%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
58.1% (31)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (150)
22.2% (18)
+19.8%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Stenlund shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Zacha
Home
53.6% (261)
39.7% (131)
Away
52.8% (265)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Stenlund
Zacha
P1
55.4%
42.9%
P2
51.5%
46.4%
P3
52.9%
42.3%
Final 5 min
52.0%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:35 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |