Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Stenlund wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Zacha 54.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 85.3%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 73.9%
Neutral zone
Zacha 54.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Stenlund
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Stenlund
Zacha
Last 10: Stenlund 5-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
6
Stenlund
Zacha
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
6
0
Stenlund
Zacha
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
53.9% (787)
+0.5%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
63.2% (193)
-20.3%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
44.3% (88)
-0.2%
On power play, Zacha has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Stenlund shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Zacha
Home
50.7% (402)
56.7% (538)
Away
52.0% (433)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Stenlund
Zacha
P1
56.5%
52.6%
P2
52.4%
54.8%
P3
45.2%
56.8%
OT
100.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 14:17 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 19:01 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |