Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Zacha 51.7% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 54.1%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 90.6%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 69.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Stenlund
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Stenlund
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
53.3% (646)
+2.8%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
53.0% (100)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
38.9% (72)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Stenlund shoots right. Zacha is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Zacha
Home
57.0% (458)
51.7% (410)
Away
52.6% (511)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Stenlund
Zacha
P1
55.1%
57.7%
P2
53.3%
48.9%
P3
56.4%
50.2%
OT
42.1%
35.7%
Final 5 min
57.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 14:01 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |