Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Donato 48.1% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 57.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 95.6%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 83.7%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Stenlund
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Stenlund
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Donato
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
48.1% (258)
+8.0%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
43.2% (37)
+10.0%
On power play, Stenlund has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Stenlund shoots right. Donato is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Donato
Home
57.0% (458)
45.8% (142)
Away
52.6% (511)
49.0% (153)
By Period
Stenlund
Donato
P1
55.1%
48.1%
P2
53.3%
46.6%
P3
56.4%
46.8%
OT
42.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 9, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |