Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Donato 46.0% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 62.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 83.6%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 69.3%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Stenlund
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Stenlund
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Donato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
44.4% (180)
+10.0%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
43.2% (37)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
40.0% (5)
+4.1%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Stenlund shoots right. Donato is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Donato
Home
50.7% (402)
45.4% (97)
Away
52.0% (433)
43.2% (125)
By Period
Stenlund
Donato
P1
56.5%
36.2%
P2
52.4%
48.6%
P3
45.2%
46.9%
Final 5 min
48.1%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |