Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 52.7% vs Donato 45.3% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 84.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 84.5%
Neutral zone
Donato 55.3%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 84.2%
15.8%
84.2%
Stenlund
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stenlund
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Stenlund
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (359)
42.9% (140)
+15.3%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
28.6% (7)
+18.5%
On power play, Stenlund has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Stenlund shoots right. Donato is 32.7% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Donato
Home
53.6% (261)
44.6% (83)
Away
52.8% (265)
39.1% (64)
By Period
Stenlund
Donato
P1
55.4%
53.2%
P2
51.5%
33.3%
P3
52.9%
41.3%
Final 5 min
52.0%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |